June 28, 2024
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 23 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 179 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +72 |
Roman Dolidze overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Anthony Smith.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 081 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 390 | 1 392 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Roman Dolidze earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 100 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 93 | 185 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 103 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 184 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Roman Dolidze dominated the striking exchanges with 103 vs 51 total strikes, 100 vs 51 significant strikes. Roman Dolidze capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 32 |
| Ground ELO | 1 132 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Roman Dolidze controlled Anthony Smith on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:33 of control time, 32 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 56 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 316 | 1 316 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +51 |
Roman Dolidze demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Roman Dolidze capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Smith's 56-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 129 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Roman Dolidze started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 075 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.