August 25, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 232 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Anthony Smith's 9-fight experience advantage (20 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Smith for the expected result. Had Ryan Spann pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 108 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 452 | 1 423 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Anthony Smith receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 91 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 147 | 187 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 287 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Anthony Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 91 vs 62 total strikes, 91 vs 59 significant strikes, 61.9% vs 31.6% accuracy. Anthony Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:56 | 1:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 230 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Anthony Smith did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ryan Spann on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:56 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 349 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -13 |
Anthony Smith demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan Spann's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 157 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Anthony Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan Spann is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 101 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

