Anthony Smith vs Ryan Spann

August 25, 2023

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1240
(+24)
Anthony Smith
Winner: Anthony Smith
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Anthony Smith+24
Ryan Spann-21
1159
(-21)
Ryan Spann

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +31Ryan Spann: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithRyan Spann
Total UFC Fights2011
Experience Gap9-9
Experience ELO1 2321 161
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Anthony Smith's 9-fight experience advantage (20 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Smith for the expected result. Had Ryan Spann pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +20Ryan Spann: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithRyan Spann
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1081 058
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +10Ryan Spann: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithRyan Spann
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4521 423
ELO Change+10-10
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Anthony Smith receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +33Ryan Spann: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithRyan Spann
Significant Strikes Landed9159
Significant Strikes Attempted147187
Total Strikes Landed9162
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2871 227
ELO Change+33-33
💡

What Happened

Anthony Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 91 vs 62 total strikes, 91 vs 59 significant strikes, 61.9% vs 31.6% accuracy. Anthony Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +20Ryan Spann: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithRyan Spann
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted31
Ground Control Time0:561:19
Ground Strikes Landed09
Ground ELO1 2301 090
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Anthony Smith did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ryan Spann on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:56 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +32Ryan Spann: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithRyan Spann
Days Since Last Fight105168
Activity ELO1 3491 164
ELO Change+32-13
💡

What Happened

Anthony Smith demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan Spann's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +22Ryan Spann: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithRyan Spann
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1571 092
ELO Change+22-20
💡

What Happened

Anthony Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan Spann is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +21Ryan Spann: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithRyan Spann
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1011 054
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.