May 3, 2024
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 17 | -17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 218 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Anthony Smith's 17-fight experience advantage (22 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Smith for the expected result. Had Vitor Petrino pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 105 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:00 | 2:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 444 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -24 |
Anthony Smith earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 225 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Anthony Smith slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 55.0% vs 45.5% accuracy. Anthony Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 209 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 342 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -12 |
Anthony Smith demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Vitor Petrino's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 154 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Anthony Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vitor Petrino is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 099 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

