Anthony Smith vs Vitor Petrino

May 3, 2024

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1225
(+30)
Anthony Smith
Winner: Anthony Smith
Submission
Round 1 • 2:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Anthony Smith+30
Vitor Petrino-25
1124
(-25)
Vitor Petrino

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +30Vitor Petrino: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithVitor Petrino
Total UFC Fights225
Experience Gap17-17
Experience ELO1 2181 136
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Anthony Smith's 17-fight experience advantage (22 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Smith for the expected result. Had Vitor Petrino pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +21Vitor Petrino: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithVitor Petrino
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1051 056
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +45Vitor Petrino: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithVitor Petrino
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:002:00
Win Type ELO1 4441 213
ELO Change+45-24
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What Happened

Anthony Smith earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +18Vitor Petrino: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithVitor Petrino
Significant Strikes Landed1110
Significant Strikes Attempted2022
Total Strikes Landed1110
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2251 112
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

Anthony Smith slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 55.0% vs 45.5% accuracy. Anthony Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +52Vitor Petrino: -52

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithVitor Petrino
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:000:14
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2091 189
ELO Change+52-52
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +25Vitor Petrino: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithVitor Petrino
Days Since Last Fight14763
Activity ELO1 3421 152
ELO Change+25-12
💡

What Happened

Anthony Smith demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Vitor Petrino's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +21Vitor Petrino: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithVitor Petrino
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1541 079
ELO Change+21-19
💡

What Happened

Anthony Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vitor Petrino is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Anthony Smith: +21Vitor Petrino: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAnthony SmithVitor Petrino
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0991 056
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.