April 26, 2025
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 25 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 22 | -22 |
| Experience ELO | 1 109 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +99 |
Zhang Mingyang overcame a 22-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 25 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Anthony Smith.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:03 | 4:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 292 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +134 |
Zhang Mingyang earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 029 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -90 | +90 |
Zhang Mingyang dominated the striking exchanges with 76 vs 11 total strikes, 63 vs 10 significant strikes, 77.8% vs 47.6% accuracy. Zhang Mingyang capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 1:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 25 |
| Ground ELO | 1 025 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Zhang Mingyang controlled Anthony Smith on the ground with 1:28 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 253 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +59 |
Zhang Mingyang demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Zhang Mingyang capitalized on this activity level, while Anthony Smith's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 084 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +32 |
Zhang Mingyang extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anthony Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anthony Smith | Zhang Mingyang |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 032 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.