February 22, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 980 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:29 | 2:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 939 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +46 |
Michael Chiesa earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:29, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Anton Kuivanen was submitted.
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 994 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Anton Kuivanen controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (18 vs 5), superior accuracy (32.7% vs 10.0%). However, since Anton Kuivanen lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Michael Chiesa's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:51 | 2:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 947 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Michael Chiesa controlled Anton Kuivanen on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:08 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 268 |
| Activity ELO | 995 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Michael Chiesa demonstrated standard activity with 268 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Michael Chiesa capitalized on this activity level, while Anton Kuivanen's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Michael Chiesa extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anton Kuivanen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.