July 20, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 011 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 969 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Anton Kuivanen receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 014 | 872 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Anton Kuivanen controlled the striking exchanges with 66 vs 29 total strikes, 29 vs 6 significant strikes, 54.7% vs 25.0% accuracy. Anton Kuivanen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:27 | 4:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 996 | 853 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
Anton Kuivanen controlled Mitch Clarke on the ground with 3 takedowns, 7:27 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 157 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 016 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -21 |
Anton Kuivanen demonstrated solid activity levels with 157 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anton Kuivanen capitalized on this activity level, while Mitch Clarke's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Anton Kuivanen started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mitch Clarke is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anton Kuivanen | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.