September 9, 2022
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Jailton Almeida's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jailton Almeida for the expected result. Had Anton Turkalj pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:27 | 4:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 978 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +37 |
Jailton Almeida earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 971 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Jailton Almeida controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 1 significant strikes, 70.8% vs 100.0% accuracy. Jailton Almeida capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 4:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 937 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Jailton Almeida dominated Anton Turkalj on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 4:14 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +40 |
Jailton Almeida demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jailton Almeida capitalized on this activity level, while Anton Turkalj's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Jailton Almeida extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anton Turkalj is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.