September 8, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 896 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Tyson Pedro's 7-fight experience advantage (10 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tyson Pedro for the expected result. Had Anton Turkalj pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 944 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:12 | 2:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 920 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +42 |
Tyson Pedro earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:12, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 886 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Tyson Pedro controlled the striking exchanges with 16 vs 8 significant strikes, 55.2% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tyson Pedro capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 843 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 950 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +18 |
Tyson Pedro demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tyson Pedro capitalized on this activity level, while Anton Turkalj's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 945 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Tyson Pedro started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anton Turkalj is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 944 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

