March 10, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 918 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 962 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 939 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Vitor Petrino earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 82 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 60 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 950 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Vitor Petrino slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 39 vs 33 significant strikes, 47.6% vs 58.9% accuracy. Vitor Petrino capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:40 | 6:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 878 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Vitor Petrino controlled Anton Turkalj on the ground with 7 vs 5 takedowns, 6:13 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 964 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Vitor Petrino demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Vitor Petrino capitalized on this activity level, while Anton Turkalj's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 962 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Vitor Petrino started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anton Turkalj is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anton Turkalj | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 962 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.