November 13, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anton Zafir | James Moontasri |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
James Moontasri's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding James Moontasri for the expected result. Had Anton Zafir pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anton Zafir | James Moontasri |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anton Zafir | James Moontasri |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:36 | 4:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 960 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +86 |
James Moontasri earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:36, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Anton Zafir | James Moontasri |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 918 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Anton Zafir controlled the striking through superior volume (31 vs 13 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (17 vs 11), superior accuracy (68.0% vs 52.4%). However, since Anton Zafir lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. James Moontasri's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Anton Zafir | James Moontasri |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:50 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 980 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
James Moontasri landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Anton Zafir | James Moontasri |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 123 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +43 |
James Moontasri demonstrated solid activity levels with 123 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, James Moontasri capitalized on this activity level, while Anton Zafir's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anton Zafir | James Moontasri |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
James Moontasri started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Anton Zafir is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anton Zafir | James Moontasri |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.