January 18, 2008
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Colin Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Antoni Hardonk's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Antoni Hardonk for the expected result. Had Colin Robinson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Colin Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Colin Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:17 | 0:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 121 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +102 | -35 |
Antoni Hardonk secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:17 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Colin Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 2 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 099 | 814 |
| ELO Change | +120 | -120 |
Antoni Hardonk controlled the striking exchanges with 5 vs 0 significant strikes, 71.4% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Antoni Hardonk capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Colin Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 880 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Colin Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -21 |
Antoni Hardonk demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Antoni Hardonk capitalized on this activity level, while Colin Robinson's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Colin Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Antoni Hardonk started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Colin Robinson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Colin Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

