August 24, 2007
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 933 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Frank Mir's 8-fight experience advantage (11 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Frank Mir for the expected result. Had Antoni Hardonk pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:17 | 1:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 019 | 1 294 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +35 |
Frank Mir earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:17, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -83 | +83 |
Frank Mir slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 80.0% vs 33.3% accuracy. Frank Mir capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 1:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 852 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
Frank Mir dominated Antoni Hardonk on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:03 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 142 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 986 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Frank Mir demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Frank Mir capitalized on this activity level, while Antoni Hardonk's 142-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +17 |
Frank Mir started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antoni Hardonk is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.