April 4, 2007
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 952 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 037 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Justin McCully earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 062 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Justin McCully controlled the striking exchanges with 80 vs 50 total strikes, 21 vs 26 significant strikes, 52.5% vs 74.3% accuracy. Justin McCully capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 13:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 923 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -98 | +98 |
Justin McCully dominated Antoni Hardonk on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 13:30 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 138 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 999 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Justin McCully demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Justin McCully capitalized on this activity level, while Antoni Hardonk's 138-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Justin McCully started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antoni Hardonk is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Justin McCully |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.