December 26, 2008
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Mike Wessel |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Antoni Hardonk's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Antoni Hardonk for the expected result. Had Mike Wessel pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Mike Wessel |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 048 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Mike Wessel |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:09 | 2:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 257 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -19 |
Antoni Hardonk gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Mike Wessel |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 222 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Antoni Hardonk controlled the striking exchanges with 46 vs 13 significant strikes, 78.0% vs 56.5% accuracy. Antoni Hardonk capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Mike Wessel |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:36 | 3:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 25 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 943 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Antoni Hardonk did not secure a significant ground advantage against Mike Wessel on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:36 of control time, 25 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Mike Wessel |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 094 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Antoni Hardonk demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Antoni Hardonk capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Wessel's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Mike Wessel |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Antoni Hardonk extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Wessel is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Mike Wessel |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

