October 23, 2009
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 972 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +45 |
Pat Barry overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Antoni Hardonk.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:30 | 2:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 150 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +127 |
Pat Barry gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 72 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 031 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -103 | +103 |
Pat Barry controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Pat Barry capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 853 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Pat Barry landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 051 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +45 |
Pat Barry demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Pat Barry capitalized on this activity level, while Antoni Hardonk's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 017 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +26 |
Pat Barry started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antoni Hardonk is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antoni Hardonk | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.