November 20, 2020
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Ariane da Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 068 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Ariane da Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Ariane da Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:33 | 4:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 145 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -44 |
Antonina Shevchenko gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Ariane da Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 57 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 94 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 102 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +103 | -103 |
Antonina Shevchenko dominated the striking exchanges with 94 vs 25 total strikes, 39 vs 15 significant strikes, 68.4% vs 57.7% accuracy. Antonina Shevchenko capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Ariane da Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:39 | 0:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 26 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 996 | 887 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -88 |
Antonina Shevchenko controlled Ariane da Silva on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 7:39 of control time, 26 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Ariane da Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 074 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -21 |
Antonina Shevchenko demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Antonina Shevchenko capitalized on this activity level, while Ariane da Silva's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Ariane da Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Antonina Shevchenko started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ariane da Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Ariane da Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.