Antonina Shevchenko vs Cortney Casey

July 8, 2022

Women's Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1007
(+24)
Antonina Shevchenko
Winner: Antonina Shevchenko
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Antonina Shevchenko+24
Cortney Casey-23
971
(-23)
Cortney Casey

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: +43Cortney Casey: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoCortney Casey
Total UFC Fights815
Experience Gap-77
Experience ELO1 048952
ELO Change+43-29
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What Happened

Antonina Shevchenko overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cortney Casey.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: +21Cortney Casey: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoCortney Casey
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 000956
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: +11Cortney Casey: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoCortney Casey
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0681 071
ELO Change+11-11
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Antonina Shevchenko receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: +30Cortney Casey: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoCortney Casey
Significant Strikes Landed5533
Significant Strikes Attempted11786
Total Strikes Landed8180
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 026989
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Antonina Shevchenko controlled the striking exchanges with 55 vs 33 significant strikes, 47.0% vs 38.4% accuracy. Antonina Shevchenko capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: +22Cortney Casey: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoCortney Casey
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted15
Ground Control Time1:503:08
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO855831
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

Antonina Shevchenko did not secure a significant ground advantage against Cortney Casey on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:50 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: +23Cortney Casey: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoCortney Casey
Days Since Last Fight280238
Activity ELO1 0531 046
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

Antonina Shevchenko demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Antonina Shevchenko capitalized on this activity level, while Cortney Casey's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: +23Cortney Casey: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoCortney Casey
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 009970
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Antonina Shevchenko started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cortney Casey is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: +21Cortney Casey: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoCortney Casey
Weight ClassWomen's FlyweightWomen's Flyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO999956
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.