July 8, 2022
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Cortney Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 048 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -29 |
Antonina Shevchenko overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cortney Casey.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Cortney Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Cortney Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 068 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Antonina Shevchenko receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Cortney Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 117 | 86 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 026 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Antonina Shevchenko controlled the striking exchanges with 55 vs 33 significant strikes, 47.0% vs 38.4% accuracy. Antonina Shevchenko capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Cortney Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:50 | 3:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 855 | 831 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Antonina Shevchenko did not secure a significant ground advantage against Cortney Casey on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:50 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Cortney Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 053 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Antonina Shevchenko demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Antonina Shevchenko capitalized on this activity level, while Cortney Casey's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Cortney Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Antonina Shevchenko started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cortney Casey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Cortney Casey |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

