May 29, 2020
Women's Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 038 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Katlyn Cerminara's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Katlyn Cerminara for the expected result. Had Antonina Shevchenko pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 054 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Katlyn Cerminara earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 73 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 200 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 999 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Katlyn Cerminara dominated the striking exchanges with 200 vs 37 total strikes, 73 vs 25 significant strikes, 67.6% vs 39.1% accuracy. Katlyn Cerminara capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 10:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 47 |
| Ground ELO | 908 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -87 | +87 |
Katlyn Cerminara dominated Antonina Shevchenko on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 10:36 of control time, 47 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 301 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 037 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +44 |
Katlyn Cerminara demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Katlyn Cerminara capitalized on this activity level, while Antonina Shevchenko's 301-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +19 |
Katlyn Cerminara started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antonina Shevchenko is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonina Shevchenko | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

