Antonina Shevchenko vs Katlyn Cerminara

May 29, 2020

Women's Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1005
(-35)
Antonina Shevchenko
Winner: Katlyn Cerminara
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Antonina Shevchenko-35
Katlyn Cerminara+38
1120
(+38)
Katlyn Cerminara

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: -27Katlyn Cerminara: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoKatlyn Cerminara
Total UFC Fights410
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO1 0381 140
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Katlyn Cerminara for the expected result. Had Antonina Shevchenko pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: -18Katlyn Cerminara: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoKatlyn Cerminara
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9991 081
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: -33Katlyn Cerminara: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoKatlyn Cerminara
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0541 194
ELO Change-33+33
💡

What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: -60Katlyn Cerminara: +60

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoKatlyn Cerminara
Significant Strikes Landed2573
Significant Strikes Attempted64108
Total Strikes Landed37200
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9991 111
ELO Change-60+60
💡

What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara dominated the striking exchanges with 200 vs 37 total strikes, 73 vs 25 significant strikes, 67.6% vs 39.1% accuracy. Katlyn Cerminara capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: -87Katlyn Cerminara: +87

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoKatlyn Cerminara
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:0010:36
Ground Strikes Landed047
Ground ELO9081 103
ELO Change-87+87
💡

What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara dominated Antonina Shevchenko on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 10:36 of control time, 47 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: -17Katlyn Cerminara: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoKatlyn Cerminara
Days Since Last Fight301112
Activity ELO1 0371 158
ELO Change-17+44
💡

What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Katlyn Cerminara capitalized on this activity level, while Antonina Shevchenko's 301-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: -18Katlyn Cerminara: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoKatlyn Cerminara
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0041 097
ELO Change-18+19
💡

What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antonina Shevchenko is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Antonina Shevchenko: -19Katlyn Cerminara: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonina ShevchenkoKatlyn Cerminara
Weight ClassWomen's FlyweightWomen's Flyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9981 075
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.