June 27, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio Braga Neto | Clint Hester |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 995 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Clint Hester's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Clint Hester for the expected result. Had Antonio Braga Neto pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Antonio Braga Neto | Clint Hester |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio Braga Neto | Clint Hester |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 071 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Clint Hester receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Antonio Braga Neto | Clint Hester |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 32 | 78 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 009 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Clint Hester controlled the striking exchanges with 50 vs 73 total strikes, 40 vs 16 significant strikes. Clint Hester capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio Braga Neto | Clint Hester |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:52 | 2:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 035 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Clint Hester did not secure a significant ground advantage against Antonio Braga Neto on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:27 of control time, 4 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Antonio Braga Neto | Clint Hester |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 385 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 007 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +28 |
Clint Hester demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Clint Hester capitalized on this activity level, while Antonio Braga Neto's 385-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Braga Neto | Clint Hester |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +25 |
Clint Hester extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antonio Braga Neto is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonio Braga Neto | Clint Hester |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.