Antonio Carlos Junior vs Brad Tavares

January 22, 2021

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1119
(-27)
Antonio Carlos Junior
Winner: Brad Tavares
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Antonio Carlos Junior-27
Brad Tavares+27
1160
(+27)
Brad Tavares

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: -29Brad Tavares: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorBrad Tavares
Total UFC Fights1319
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO1 0891 173
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Brad Tavares's 6-fight experience advantage (19 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brad Tavares for the expected result. Had Antonio Carlos Junior pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: -19Brad Tavares: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorBrad Tavares
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0321 107
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: -47Brad Tavares: +47

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorBrad Tavares
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2251 275
ELO Change-47+47
💡

What Happened

Brad Tavares earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: -36Brad Tavares: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorBrad Tavares
Significant Strikes Landed3454
Significant Strikes Attempted103108
Total Strikes Landed5773
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0801 088
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Brad Tavares controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 34 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 33.0% accuracy. Brad Tavares capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: -32Brad Tavares: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorBrad Tavares
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted120
Ground Control Time6:280:05
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2841 144
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Brad Tavares did not secure a significant ground advantage against Antonio Carlos Junior on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: -18Brad Tavares: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorBrad Tavares
Days Since Last Fight498448
Activity ELO1 1381 229
ELO Change-18+16
💡

What Happened

Brad Tavares demonstrated extended layoff with 448 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Brad Tavares capitalized on this activity level, while Antonio Carlos Junior's 498-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: -18Brad Tavares: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorBrad Tavares
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0721 155
ELO Change-18+20
💡

What Happened

Brad Tavares started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antonio Carlos Junior is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: -19Brad Tavares: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorBrad Tavares
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0321 107
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.