June 26, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Eddie Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 023 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Eddie Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Eddie Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:37 | 4:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -46 |
Antonio Carlos Junior earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:37, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Eddie Gordon was submitted.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Eddie Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 45 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 018 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Antonio Carlos Junior controlled the striking exchanges with 76 vs 39 total strikes, 40 vs 12 significant strikes, 51.3% vs 26.7% accuracy. Antonio Carlos Junior capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Eddie Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:21 | 2:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 132 | 780 |
| ELO Change | +157 | -157 |
Antonio Carlos Junior dominated Eddie Gordon on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 7:21 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Eddie Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 031 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Antonio Carlos Junior demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Antonio Carlos Junior capitalized on this activity level, while Eddie Gordon's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Eddie Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Antonio Carlos Junior started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eddie Gordon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Eddie Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

