Antonio Carlos Junior vs Eric Spicely

June 2, 2017

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1128
(+36)
Antonio Carlos Junior
Winner: Antonio Carlos Junior
Submission
Round 2 • 3:49

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Antonio Carlos Junior+36
Eric Spicely-29
1056
(-29)
Eric Spicely

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: +31Eric Spicely: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorEric Spicely
Total UFC Fights84
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 0991 035
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Antonio Carlos Junior's 4-fight experience advantage (8 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Antonio Carlos Junior for the expected result. Had Eric Spicely pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: +20Eric Spicely: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorEric Spicely
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0611 005
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: +70Eric Spicely: -45

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorEric Spicely
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:493:49
Win Type ELO1 1961 107
ELO Change+70-45
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What Happened

Antonio Carlos Junior earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:49, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Eric Spicely was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: +23Eric Spicely: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorEric Spicely
Significant Strikes Landed1217
Significant Strikes Attempted2326
Total Strikes Landed3739
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0731 063
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Eric Spicely controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (17 vs 12), superior accuracy (65.4% vs 52.2%). However, since Eric Spicely lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Antonio Carlos Junior's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: +54Eric Spicely: -54

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorEric Spicely
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted12
Ground Control Time4:480:35
Ground Strikes Landed1116
Ground ELO1 3271 129
ELO Change+54-54
💡

What Happened

Antonio Carlos Junior controlled Eric Spicely on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:48 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: +39Eric Spicely: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorEric Spicely
Days Since Last Fight155126
Activity ELO1 1261 087
ELO Change+39-22
💡

What Happened

Antonio Carlos Junior demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Antonio Carlos Junior capitalized on this activity level, while Eric Spicely's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: +26Eric Spicely: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorEric Spicely
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 0771 014
ELO Change+26-20
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What Happened

Antonio Carlos Junior extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eric Spicely is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Carlos Junior: +20Eric Spicely: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Carlos JuniorEric Spicely
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0611 005
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.