Antonio Carlos Junior vs Jack Marshman

Antonio Carlos Junior's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Antonio Carlos Junior for the expected result. Had Jack Marshman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Antonio Carlos Junior earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Antonio Carlos Junior controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 4 total strikes, 11 vs 1 significant strikes, 40.7% vs 6.7% accuracy. Antonio Carlos Junior capitalized on this striking dominance.

Antonio Carlos Junior dominated Jack Marshman on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:09 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Antonio Carlos Junior demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Antonio Carlos Junior capitalized on this activity level, while Jack Marshman's 104-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Antonio Carlos Junior extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jack Marshman is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.