Antonio Carlos Junior vs Leonardo Guimaraes

Antonio Carlos Junior's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Antonio Carlos Junior for the expected result. Had Leonardo Guimaraes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Antonio Carlos Junior earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:46, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Leonardo Guimaraes was submitted.

Antonio Carlos Junior dominated the striking exchanges with 94 vs 15 total strikes, 32 vs 6 significant strikes, 53.3% vs 35.3% accuracy. Antonio Carlos Junior capitalized on this striking dominance.

Antonio Carlos Junior dominated Leonardo Guimaraes on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 10:13 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Antonio Carlos Junior demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Antonio Carlos Junior capitalized on this activity level, while Leonardo Guimaraes's 209-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Antonio Carlos Junior started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Leonardo Guimaraes is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.