April 13, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 192 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -33 |
Antonio Carlos Junior overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tim Boetsch.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 100 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:28 | 4:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 353 | 1 357 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -61 |
Antonio Carlos Junior earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:28, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 48 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 234 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -81 |
Antonio Carlos Junior controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 13 total strikes, 31 vs 7 significant strikes, 64.6% vs 38.9% accuracy. Antonio Carlos Junior capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:30 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 420 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Antonio Carlos Junior dominated Tim Boetsch on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:30 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 293 |
| Activity ELO | 1 207 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -28 |
Antonio Carlos Junior demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Antonio Carlos Junior capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Boetsch's 293-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 143 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -21 |
Antonio Carlos Junior continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Tim Boetsch's now at 0.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 100 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.