September 13, 2019
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 118 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Uriah Hall's 3-fight experience advantage (15 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Uriah Hall for the expected result. Had Antonio Carlos Junior pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 051 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 272 | 1 311 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Uriah Hall receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 69 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 116 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Uriah Hall controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 81 total strikes, 34 vs 22 significant strikes, 43.0% vs 31.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Uriah Hall capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:42 | 0:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 316 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Uriah Hall landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 1 156 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Uriah Hall demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Uriah Hall capitalized on this activity level, while Antonio Carlos Junior's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 090 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +30 |
Uriah Hall extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antonio Carlos Junior is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonio Carlos Junior | Uriah Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 051 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

