July 20, 2012
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -35 |
Antonio Carvalho overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Daniel Pineda.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:11 | 1:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 091 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +138 | -58 |
Antonio Carvalho earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:11, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 093 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +122 | -122 |
Antonio Carvalho controlled the striking exchanges with 43.5% vs 35.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Antonio Carvalho capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 049 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -80 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 56 |
| Activity ELO | 1 013 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -28 |
Antonio Carvalho demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Antonio Carvalho capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Pineda's 56-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Antonio Carvalho started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Pineda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

