January 13, 2012
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Felipe Arantes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Felipe Arantes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Felipe Arantes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Felipe Arantes earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Felipe Arantes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 153 | 122 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 72 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 971 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Felipe Arantes controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 37 significant strikes, 43.4% vs 24.2% accuracy. Felipe Arantes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Felipe Arantes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:18 | 2:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 969 | 962 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Felipe Arantes did not secure a significant ground advantage against Antonio Carvalho on the ground with 2:47 of control time, 4 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Felipe Arantes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +45 |
Felipe Arantes demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Felipe Arantes capitalized on this activity level, while Antonio Carvalho's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Felipe Arantes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Felipe Arantes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antonio Carvalho is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Felipe Arantes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

