November 16, 2012
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 040 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 101 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Antonio Carvalho receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 150 | 158 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 110 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Rodrigo Damm lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Antonio Carvalho's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 070 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 056 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -21 |
Antonio Carvalho demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Antonio Carvalho capitalized on this activity level, while Rodrigo Damm's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Antonio Carvalho extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rodrigo Damm is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonio Carvalho | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.