Antonio Dos Santos vs Daniel Sarafian

December 19, 2014

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

969
(-31)
Antonio Dos Santos
Winner: Daniel Sarafian
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:01

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Antonio Dos Santos-31
Daniel Sarafian+38
1006
(+38)
Daniel Sarafian

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Dos Santos: -35Daniel Sarafian: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Dos SantosDaniel Sarafian
Total UFC Fights15
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO965996
ELO Change-35+35
💡

What Happened

Daniel Sarafian's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Daniel Sarafian for the expected result. Had Antonio Dos Santos pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Dos Santos: -23Daniel Sarafian: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Dos SantosDaniel Sarafian
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO977988
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Dos Santos: -41Daniel Sarafian: +83

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Dos SantosDaniel Sarafian
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:011:01
Win Type ELO9591 095
ELO Change-41+83
💡

What Happened

Daniel Sarafian gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Dos Santos: -59Daniel Sarafian: +59

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Dos SantosDaniel Sarafian
Significant Strikes Landed3724
Significant Strikes Attempted7346
Total Strikes Landed3924
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO9411 017
ELO Change-59+59
💡

What Happened

Antonio Dos Santos controlled the striking through superior volume (39 vs 24 total strikes), significant strike advantage (37 vs 24), 1 knockdown. However, since Antonio Dos Santos lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Daniel Sarafian's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Dos Santos: -25Daniel Sarafian: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Dos SantosDaniel Sarafian
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time1:170:20
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO975950
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Daniel Sarafian did not secure a significant ground advantage against Antonio Dos Santos on the ground with 0:20 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Dos Santos: -22Daniel Sarafian: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Dos SantosDaniel Sarafian
Days Since Last FightN/A190
Activity ELO9781 017
ELO Change-22+27
💡

What Happened

Daniel Sarafian demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Sarafian capitalized on this activity level, while Antonio Dos Santos's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Dos Santos: -23Daniel Sarafian: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Dos SantosDaniel Sarafian
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO977993
ELO Change-23+25
💡

What Happened

Daniel Sarafian started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antonio Dos Santos is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Antonio Dos Santos: -23Daniel Sarafian: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAntonio Dos SantosDaniel Sarafian
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO977988
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.