December 31, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio McKee | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 971 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Jacob Volkmann's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jacob Volkmann for the expected result. Had Antonio McKee pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Antonio McKee | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio McKee | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 990 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jacob Volkmann receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Antonio McKee | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 978 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Antonio McKee controlled the striking through superior volume (41 vs 21 total strikes), significant strike advantage (25 vs 10), superior accuracy (45.5% vs 21.3%). However, since Antonio McKee lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jacob Volkmann's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio McKee | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:48 | 4:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 980 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Jacob Volkmann slightly outworked Antonio McKee on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:24 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio McKee | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +28 |
Jacob Volkmann demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jacob Volkmann capitalized on this activity level, while Antonio McKee's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio McKee | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Jacob Volkmann extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antonio McKee is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonio McKee | Jacob Volkmann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

