January 16, 2009
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio Mendes | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 955 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Eric Schafer's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Eric Schafer for the expected result. Had Antonio Mendes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Antonio Mendes | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 963 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio Mendes | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:35 | 3:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 959 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +61 |
Eric Schafer earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:35, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Antonio Mendes | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 872 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -105 | +105 |
Eric Schafer dominated the striking exchanges with 59 vs 9 total strikes, 22 vs 3 significant strikes, 73.3% vs 60.0% accuracy. Eric Schafer capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio Mendes | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 3:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 22 |
| Ground ELO | 924 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Eric Schafer controlled Antonio Mendes on the ground with 3:06 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Mendes | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 239 | 123 |
| Activity ELO | 967 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +39 |
Eric Schafer demonstrated solid activity levels with 123 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Eric Schafer capitalized on this activity level, while Antonio Mendes's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Mendes | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 964 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Eric Schafer extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antonio Mendes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonio Mendes | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 963 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.