August 26, 2011
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Brendan Schaub |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 183 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Brendan Schaub |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 077 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Brendan Schaub |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:09 | 3:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 291 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | +115 | -54 |
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Brendan Schaub |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 45 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 194 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | +151 | -151 |
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira controlled the striking exchanges with 42.9% vs 24.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Brendan Schaub |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:17 | 0:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 177 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Brendan Schaub |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 553 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 104 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -26 |
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira demonstrated extended layoff with 553 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira capitalized on this activity level, while Brendan Schaub's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Brendan Schaub |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 083 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brendan Schaub is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Brendan Schaub |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 070 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

