Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira vs Roy Nelson

Roy Nelson's 2-fight experience advantage (12 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Roy Nelson for the expected result. Had Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Roy Nelson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:37, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Roy Nelson dominated the striking exchanges with 19 vs 12 significant strikes, 54.3% vs 32.4% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Roy Nelson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Roy Nelson demonstrated solid activity levels with 174 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Roy Nelson capitalized on this activity level, while Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira's 307-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Roy Nelson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.