February 1, 2008
UFC Interim Heavyweight Title Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 141 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -43 |
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tim Sylvia.
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 055 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:28 | 1:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 159 | 1 383 |
| ELO Change | +116 | -77 |
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:28, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Tim Sylvia was submitted.
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 70 | 131 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 080 | 1 323 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Tim Sylvia controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (87 vs 40 total strikes), significant strike advantage (53 vs 28), 1 knockdown. However, since Tim Sylvia lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:31 | 2:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 150 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +96 | -96 |
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira controlled Tim Sylvia on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:31 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 066 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -34 |
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Sylvia's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 059 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -30 |
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Sylvia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 049 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.