May 25, 2012
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 985 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Cain Velasquez's 8-fight experience advantage (9 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cain Velasquez for the expected result. Had Antonio Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 989 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:36 | 3:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 994 | 1 448 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +14 |
Cain Velasquez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:36, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 986 | 1 518 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Cain Velasquez dominated the striking exchanges with 53 vs 3 total strikes, 28 vs 1 significant strikes. Cain Velasquez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 28 |
| Ground ELO | 983 | 1 350 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Cain Velasquez controlled Antonio Silva on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:29 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 991 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +12 |
Cain Velasquez demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cain Velasquez capitalized on this activity level, while Antonio Silva's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +11 |
Cain Velasquez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antonio Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 986 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.