February 21, 2015
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 24 |
| Experience Gap | -17 | 17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Frank Mir's 17-fight experience advantage (24 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Frank Mir for the expected result. Had Antonio Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:40 | 1:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 172 | 1 330 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +93 |
Frank Mir earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 951 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -235 | +235 |
Frank Mir controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 1 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Frank Mir capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 004 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Frank Mir landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 163 | 386 |
| Activity ELO | 1 050 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +15 |
Frank Mir demonstrated extended layoff with 386 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Frank Mir capitalized on this activity level, while Antonio Silva's 163-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Frank Mir started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antonio Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 989 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.