July 31, 2015
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 050 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:41 | 0:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 265 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -45 |
Antonio Silva gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 46 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 074 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +123 | -123 |
Soa Palelei controlled the striking through superior volume (46 vs 29 total strikes). However, since Soa Palelei lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Antonio Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:30 | 2:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 031 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Antonio Silva landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 160 | 267 |
| Activity ELO | 1 092 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -24 |
Antonio Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 160 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Antonio Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Soa Palelei's 267-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 035 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Antonio Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Soa Palelei is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 013 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.