May 7, 2016
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 001 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Stefan Struve's 7-fight experience advantage (17 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Stefan Struve for the expected result. Had Antonio Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 986 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:16 | 0:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 193 | 1 368 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +115 |
Stefan Struve secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:16 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 848 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | -161 | +161 |
Stefan Struve controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 0 significant strikes, 81.3% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Stefan Struve capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 937 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Stefan Struve landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 058 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +23 |
Stefan Struve demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stefan Struve capitalized on this activity level, while Antonio Silva's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 999 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +18 |
Stefan Struve started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antonio Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Antonio Silva | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 976 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

