April 23, 2021
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aoriqileng | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Aoriqileng | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aoriqileng | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Jeff Molina earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Aoriqileng | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 116 | 189 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 258 | 356 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 125 | 210 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 902 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -98 | +98 |
Jeff Molina dominated the striking exchanges with 210 vs 125 total strikes, 189 vs 116 significant strikes, 53.1% vs 45.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Jeff Molina capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aoriqileng | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:00 | 0:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 973 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Jeff Molina landed 2 knockdowns followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Aoriqileng | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Jeff Molina demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jeff Molina capitalized on this activity level, while Aoriqileng's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aoriqileng | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Jeff Molina started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aoriqileng is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aoriqileng | Jeff Molina |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.