April 23, 2021
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 998 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:28 | 1:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 064 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -45 |
Ariane Carnelossi gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 32 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 044 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Ariane Carnelossi dominated the striking exchanges with 91 vs 36 total strikes, 24 vs 19 significant strikes. Ariane Carnelossi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:36 | 2:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 999 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Ariane Carnelossi did not secure a significant ground advantage against Liang Na on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:36 of control time, 13 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 581 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -22 |
Ariane Carnelossi demonstrated extended layoff with 581 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Ariane Carnelossi capitalized on this activity level, while Liang Na's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Ariane Carnelossi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Liang Na is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Liang Na |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.