Ariane Carnelossi vs Piera Rodriguez

May 17, 2024

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1033
(+22)
Ariane Carnelossi
Winner: Ariane Carnelossi
DQ
Round 2 • 3:16

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ariane Carnelossi+22
Piera Rodriguez-22
1002
(-22)
Piera Rodriguez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane Carnelossi: +36Piera Rodriguez: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane CarnelossiPiera Rodriguez
Total UFC Fights54
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 0331 012
ELO Change+36-36
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane Carnelossi: +22Piera Rodriguez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane CarnelossiPiera Rodriguez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 019996
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane Carnelossi: +10Piera Rodriguez: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane CarnelossiPiera Rodriguez
Fight OutcomeDQDQ
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:163:16
Win Type ELO1 0771 037
ELO Change+10-10
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What Happened

The fight concluded with Ariane Carnelossi earning a DQ, with adjustments based on the nature of the result.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane Carnelossi: +22Piera Rodriguez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane CarnelossiPiera Rodriguez
Significant Strikes Landed1640
Significant Strikes Attempted4981
Total Strikes Landed4651
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 010989
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

Piera Rodriguez controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (40 vs 16), superior accuracy (49.4% vs 32.7%), 1 knockdown. However, since Piera Rodriguez lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ariane Carnelossi's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane Carnelossi: +20Piera Rodriguez: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane CarnelossiPiera Rodriguez
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:003:53
Ground Strikes Landed07
Ground ELO1 034970
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Ariane Carnelossi did not secure a significant ground advantage against Piera Rodriguez on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane Carnelossi: +19Piera Rodriguez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane CarnelossiPiera Rodriguez
Days Since Last Fight742399
Activity ELO1 0421 012
ELO Change+19-22
💡

What Happened

Ariane Carnelossi demonstrated extended layoff with 742 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Ariane Carnelossi capitalized on this activity level, while Piera Rodriguez's 399-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane Carnelossi: +24Piera Rodriguez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane CarnelossiPiera Rodriguez
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0291 004
ELO Change+24-22
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What Happened

Ariane Carnelossi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Piera Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane Carnelossi: +22Piera Rodriguez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane CarnelossiPiera Rodriguez
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 019996
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.