May 17, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 033 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | DQ | DQ |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:16 | 3:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 077 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The fight concluded with Ariane Carnelossi earning a DQ, with adjustments based on the nature of the result.
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 49 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 010 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Piera Rodriguez controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (40 vs 16), superior accuracy (49.4% vs 32.7%), 1 knockdown. However, since Piera Rodriguez lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ariane Carnelossi's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 034 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Ariane Carnelossi did not secure a significant ground advantage against Piera Rodriguez on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 742 | 399 |
| Activity ELO | 1 042 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -22 |
Ariane Carnelossi demonstrated extended layoff with 742 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Ariane Carnelossi capitalized on this activity level, while Piera Rodriguez's 399-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Ariane Carnelossi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Piera Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ariane Carnelossi | Piera Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

