Ariane da Silva vs Isabela de Padua

November 15, 2019

Women's Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

983
(+42)
Ariane da Silva
Winner: Ariane da Silva
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ariane da Silva+42
Isabela de Padua-39
961
(-39)
Isabela de Padua

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +37Isabela de Padua: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaIsabela de Padua
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO977963
ELO Change+37-37
💡

What Happened

Ariane da Silva's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ariane da Silva for the expected result. Had Isabela de Padua pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +23Isabela de Padua: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaIsabela de Padua
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO983977
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +50Isabela de Padua: -50

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaIsabela de Padua
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO982950
ELO Change+50-50
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What Happened

Ariane da Silva earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +83Isabela de Padua: -83

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaIsabela de Padua
Significant Strikes Landed3115
Significant Strikes Attempted6342
Total Strikes Landed17590
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 029917
ELO Change+83-83
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What Happened

Ariane da Silva dominated the striking exchanges with 175 vs 90 total strikes, 31 vs 15 significant strikes, 49.2% vs 35.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ariane da Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +48Isabela de Padua: -48

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaIsabela de Padua
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time8:484:39
Ground Strikes Landed139
Ground ELO913952
ELO Change+48-48
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What Happened

Ariane da Silva landed 1 knockdown followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +47Isabela de Padua: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaIsabela de Padua
Days Since Last Fight148N/A
Activity ELO1 009977
ELO Change+47-23
💡

What Happened

Ariane da Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ariane da Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Isabela de Padua's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +26Isabela de Padua: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaIsabela de Padua
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO987977
ELO Change+26-23
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What Happened

Ariane da Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Isabela de Padua is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +23Isabela de Padua: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaIsabela de Padua
Weight ClassWomen's FlyweightWomen's Flyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO983977
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.