March 10, 2023
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | JJ Aldrich |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -41 |
Ariane da Silva overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran JJ Aldrich.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | JJ Aldrich |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 995 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | JJ Aldrich |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 059 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Ariane da Silva earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | JJ Aldrich |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 101 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 204 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 963 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Ariane da Silva dominated the striking exchanges with 113 vs 56 total strikes, 101 vs 49 significant strikes. Ariane da Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | JJ Aldrich |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 1:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 933 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Ariane da Silva edged out JJ Aldrich on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:19 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | JJ Aldrich |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 281 |
| Activity ELO | 1 058 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -25 |
Ariane da Silva demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ariane da Silva capitalized on this activity level, while JJ Aldrich's 281-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | JJ Aldrich |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -27 |
Ariane da Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. JJ Aldrich is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | JJ Aldrich |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 995 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

