April 26, 2024
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Karine Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 074 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +42 |
Karine Silva overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ariane da Silva.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Karine Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Karine Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 118 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Karine Silva earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Karine Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 75 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 89 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 040 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Ariane da Silva controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (89 vs 53 total strikes), significant strike advantage (42 vs 27), superior accuracy (51.9% vs 36.0%). However, since Ariane da Silva lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Karine Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Karine Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:06 | 7:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 138 | 1 347 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Karine Silva controlled Ariane da Silva on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 7:32 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Karine Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 1 125 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Karine Silva demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Karine Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Ariane da Silva's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Karine Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +29 |
Karine Silva extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ariane da Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Karine Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.