Ariane da Silva vs Luana Carolina

July 17, 2020

Women's Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1026
(+43)
Ariane da Silva
Winner: Ariane da Silva
Submission
Round 1 • 1:28

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ariane da Silva+43
Luana Carolina-37
994
(-37)
Luana Carolina

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +39Luana Carolina: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaLuana Carolina
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 0161 020
ELO Change+39-39
💡

What Happened

Ariane da Silva's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ariane da Silva for the expected result. Had Luana Carolina pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +23Luana Carolina: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaLuana Carolina
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 006996
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +92Luana Carolina: -48

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaLuana Carolina
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:281:28
Win Type ELO1 074986
ELO Change+92-48
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What Happened

Ariane da Silva earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:28, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +52Luana Carolina: -52

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaLuana Carolina
Significant Strikes Landed32
Significant Strikes Attempted44
Total Strikes Landed112
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 081993
ELO Change+52-52
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What Happened

Ariane da Silva slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 75.0% vs 50.0% accuracy. Ariane da Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +62Luana Carolina: -62

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaLuana Carolina
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time1:070:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO975969
ELO Change+62-62
💡

What Happened

Ariane da Silva edged out Luana Carolina on the ground with 1:07 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +27Luana Carolina: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaLuana Carolina
Days Since Last Fight245434
Activity ELO1 036997
ELO Change+27-22
💡

What Happened

Ariane da Silva demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ariane da Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Luana Carolina's 434-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +28Luana Carolina: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaLuana Carolina
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 015998
ELO Change+28-23
💡

What Happened

Ariane da Silva extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luana Carolina is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ariane da Silva: +23Luana Carolina: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAriane da SilvaLuana Carolina
Weight ClassWomen's FlyweightWomen's Flyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 006996
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.