June 4, 2021
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 969 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Montana De La Rosa's 2-fight experience advantage (8 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Montana De La Rosa for the expected result. Had Ariane da Silva pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 967 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:27 | 4:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 997 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +68 |
Montana De La Rosa gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 55 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 923 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Montana De La Rosa controlled the striking exchanges with 66 vs 37 total strikes, 29 vs 11 significant strikes. Montana De La Rosa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 6:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 27 |
| Ground ELO | 865 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Montana De La Rosa controlled Ariane da Silva on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:52 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 996 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +48 |
Montana De La Rosa demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Montana De La Rosa capitalized on this activity level, while Ariane da Silva's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 975 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Montana De La Rosa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ariane da Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ariane da Silva | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 967 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.