May 3, 2019
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Arjan Bhullar | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 109 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Arjan Bhullar's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Arjan Bhullar for the expected result. Had Juan Adams pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Arjan Bhullar | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Arjan Bhullar | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 094 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Arjan Bhullar earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Arjan Bhullar | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 81 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 185 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 107 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 069 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Juan Adams controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (107 vs 69 total strikes), significant strike advantage (81 vs 41), superior accuracy (43.8% vs 66.1%). However, since Juan Adams lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Arjan Bhullar's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Arjan Bhullar | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:18 | 1:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 173 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Arjan Bhullar controlled Juan Adams on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:18 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Arjan Bhullar | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Arjan Bhullar demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Arjan Bhullar capitalized on this activity level, while Juan Adams's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Arjan Bhullar | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Arjan Bhullar extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Juan Adams is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Arjan Bhullar | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

