April 12, 2024
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Charles Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 33 |
| Experience Gap | -22 | 22 |
| Experience ELO | 1 392 | 1 381 |
| ELO Change | +108 | -44 |
Arman Tsarukyan overcame a 22-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 33 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Charles Oliveira.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Charles Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 167 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Charles Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 518 | 1 726 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Arman Tsarukyan receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Charles Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 83 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 75 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 534 | 1 522 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Arman Tsarukyan controlled the striking exchanges with 75 vs 33 total strikes, 49 vs 19 significant strikes. Arman Tsarukyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Charles Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:41 | 2:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 23 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 538 | 1 474 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
Arman Tsarukyan controlled Charles Oliveira on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:41 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Charles Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 308 |
| Activity ELO | 1 327 | 1 490 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -35 |
Arman Tsarukyan demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Arman Tsarukyan capitalized on this activity level, while Charles Oliveira's 308-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Charles Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 248 | 1 494 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -37 |
Arman Tsarukyan extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charles Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Charles Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 164 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.