September 17, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 165 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -25 |
Arman Tsarukyan overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Christos Giagos.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 074 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:09 | 2:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 231 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -38 |
Arman Tsarukyan earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 268 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +132 | -132 |
Arman Tsarukyan controlled the striking exchanges with 27 vs 4 total strikes, 22 vs 1 significant strikes, 71.0% vs 16.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Arman Tsarukyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 0:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 299 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Arman Tsarukyan controlled Christos Giagos on the ground with 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 133 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Arman Tsarukyan demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Arman Tsarukyan capitalized on this activity level, while Christos Giagos's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 098 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -19 |
Arman Tsarukyan extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Christos Giagos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Arman Tsarukyan | Christos Giagos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 074 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.